The Fukushima Inverse Problem

The Fukushima inverse problem. Code and data to compute emissions of radioactive material at the Fukushima Dai-Ichi power plant during the Great Tohoku Earthquake of 3/11 2011. This code allows to reproduce results published at ICASSP 2013.

View the Project on GitHub LCAV/FukushimaInverse-ICASSP2013

This code and all associated files are the supplementary material to the paper M. Martinez-Camara, I. Dokmani\'{c}, J. Ranieri, R. Scheibler, M. Vetterli, and A. Stohl, The Fukushima inverse problem, ICASSP 2013, Vancouver, 2013.

The original paper is available online and attacks the problem of estimating the magnitude and timing of radioactive release at the Fukushima Dai-Ichi power plant during the accident in March 2011.

Abstract

Knowing what amount of radioactive material was released from Fukushima in March 2011 is crucial to understand the scope of the consequences. Moreover, it could be used in forward simulations to obtain accurate maps of deposition. But these data are often not publicly available, or are of questionable quality. We propose to estimate the emission waveforms by solving an inverse problem. Previous approaches rely on a detailed expert guess of how the releases appeared, and they produce a solution strongly biased by this guess. If we plant a nonexistent peak in the guess, the solution also exhibits a nonexistent peak. We propose a method based on sparse regularization that solves the Fukushima inverse problem blindly. Together with the atmospheric dispersion models and worldwide radioactivity measurements our method correctly reconstructs the times of major events during the accident, and gives plausible estimates of the released quantities of Xenon.

Contact

Do not hesitate to contact us if you have any questions or would like some help running this code!

Marta Martinez-Camara EPFL-IC-LCAV BC Building, Station 14 1015 Lausanne, Switzerland

marta.martinez-camara@epfl.ch

Abstract

Knowing what amount of radioactive material was released from Fukushima in March 2011 is crucial to understand the scope of the consequences. Moreover, it could be used in forward simulations to obtain accurate maps of deposition. But these data are often not publicly available, or are of questionable quality. We propose to estimate the emission waveforms by solving an inverse problem. Previous approaches rely on a detailed expert guess of how the releases appeared, and they produce a solution strongly biased by this guess. If we plant a nonexistent peak in the guess, the solution also exhibits a nonexistent peak. We propose a method based on sparse regularization that solves the Fukushima inverse problem blindly. Together with the atmospheric dispersion models and worldwide radioactivity measurements our method correctly reconstructs the times of major events during the accident, and gives plausible estimates of the released quantities of Xenon.

Reproduce

Requirements

Settings

Re-create figures from the paper

To recreate all four figures from the paper, follow these steps.

  1. Open MATLAB
  2. Navigate to directory folder containing this README.txt
  3. Run makeFigures
  4. Wait

Note: We could unfortunately not release the exact position of the CTBTO stations. As a consequence, figure 2C is omitted.

Software files

Data files

Errata and caveats

Reference

[1] A. Stohl, P. Seibert, G. Wotawa, D. Arnold, J. F. Burkhart, S. Eckhardt, C. Tapia, A. Vargas, and T. J. Yasunari, “Xenon- 133 and caesium-137 releases into the atmosphere from the Fukushima Dai-ichi nuclear power plant: determination of the source term, atmospheric dispersion, and deposition,” Atmos. Chem. Phys., vol. 12, no. 5, pp. 2313–2343, 2012.

License

2013-2014 (c) M. Martinez-Camara, I. Dokmani\'{c}, J. Ranieri, R. Scheibler, M. Vetterli, and A. Stohl, All the code is published under a CC-BY-SA 3.0 License For details about the license, refer to http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/3.0/